Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
GRO
3 - 4
AJA
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
PAN
0 - 3
AJA
36%
26%
38%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 0
RKC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
56%
22%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
AJA
2 - 0
NAC
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 1
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 1
UTR
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
SCH
2 - 2
WIL
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
GRO
3 - 0
WIL
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1996 |
TWE
2 - 1
WIL
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |