Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1989 |
BOS
0 - 3
AJA
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
AJA
1 - 0
VVV
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
VOL
1 - 0
AJA
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
MVV
1 - 1
AJA
13%
22%
65%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
AJA
4 - 1
FEY
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1989 |
WIL
1 - 1
BVV
67%
20%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
FOR
2 - 2
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
BOS
5 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
WIL
5 - 1
VVV
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
VOL
0 - 2
WIL
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |