Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.1%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1988 |
MAR
0 - 3
AJA
34%
26%
40%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
AJA
1 - 0
VVV
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1988 |
VOL
1 - 2
AJA
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
AJA
4 - 0
FOR
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1988 |
AJA
1 - 0
YOB
85%
10%
5%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
UTR
1 - 1
WIL
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
WIL
1 - 1
TWE
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
PSV
3 - 1
WIL
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1988 |
WIL
2 - 0
FCD
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1988 |
SPA
2 - 1
WIL
67%
19%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |