Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91%
Win probability
3.77
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.6%
6-0
5%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.9%
5-0
8%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.6%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.2%
2.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
NEC
1 - 3
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 1
HFC
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
AZA
1 - 0
AJA
52%
22%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
AJA
3 - 2
RJC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
WIL
2 - 2
GRA
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
WIL
0 - 2
TWE
20%
25%
56%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
ZWO
1 - 5
WIL
54%
25%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
WIL
1 - 2
MVV
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
WIL
0 - 1
FEY
17%
23%
61%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |