Ajax vs VV Dos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
AJA
7 - 0
HER
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
AJA
4 - 2
GRO
71%
17%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
DWS
0 - 3
AJA
24%
22%
55%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
AJA
3 - 0
ADO
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
VV Dos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
VVD
2 - 4
GAE
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
VVD
1 - 4
SHW
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
HER
0 - 2
VVD
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
VVD
1 - 1
ENS
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
FEY
4 - 2
VVD
70%
17%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |