Ajax vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 2
WIL
83%
12%
6%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
TWE
2 - 5
AJA
8%
15%
77%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
LIL
0 - 2
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 1
HER
83%
12%
6%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 0
UTR
75%
15%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
LEV
2 - 4
VCF
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
VCF
2 - 1
VIL
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
VCF
2 - 2
CHL
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
BET
2 - 1
VCF
36%
26%
39%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
VCF
2 - 0
GRA
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |