Ajax vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
AJA
2 - 0
TWE
42%
24%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
GRO
2 - 2
AJA
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
AJA
0 - 3
NEC
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
AJA
1 - 1
SPA
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
UTR
4 - 0
AJA
42%
24%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
WIL
1 - 3
TEL
58%
22%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
TEL
2 - 2
WIL
38%
24%
38%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
TEL
2 - 1
BOS
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
BOS
0 - 0
TEL
36%
25%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
ADO
0 - 1
TEL
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |