Ajax vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
UTR
0 - 2
AJA
32%
26%
43%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
AJA
1 - 1
TWE
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
VVV
2 - 2
AJA
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
AJA
4 - 0
NAC
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
EIN
0 - 1
AJA
18%
22%
61%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
TEL
1 - 1
SPA
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
ADO
1 - 1
TEL
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
TEL
2 - 2
PSV
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
HFC
0 - 1
TEL
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
TEL
2 - 2
AZA
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |