Eredivisie Round 15

Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis

Ajax Sparta Rotterdam
87 ELO 80
13.7% Tilt 28.7%
102º General ELO ranking 216º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
70%
Ajax
17.5%
Draw
12.5%
Sparta Rotterdam

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
Ajax
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.5%
Win probability
Sparta Rotterdam
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+5%
+4%
Sparta Rotterdam

Points and table prediction

Ajax
Their league position
Sparta Rotterdam
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
10º
49
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSV
91
91
100%
Feyenoord
84
84
100%
Twente
69
69
100%
AZ Alkmaar
65
65
100%
Ajax
56
56
100%
NEC Nijmegen
53
53
100%
Utrecht
50
50
100%
Sparta Rotterdam
49
49
100%
Go Ahead Eagles
46
46
100%
Fortuna Sittard
10º
38
38
10º
100%
Heerenveen
11º
37
37
11º
100%
PEC Zwolle
12º
36
36
12º
100%
Almere City
13º
34
34
13º
100%
Heracles
14º
33
33
14º
100%
RKC Waalwijk
15º
29
29
15º
0%
Excelsior
16º
29
29
16º
0%
Vitesse
18º
6
24
17º
100%
FC Volendam
17º
19
19
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
100% 0%
Play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2023
RKC
RKC Waalwijk
2 - 3
Ajax
AJA
15%
20%
65%
87 71 16 0
03 Dec. 2023
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
1 - 2
Ajax
AJA
20%
21%
58%
87 76 11 0
30 Nov. 2023
MAR
Olympique Marseille
4 - 3
Ajax
AJA
35%
24%
41%
87 86 1 0
25 Nov. 2023
AJA
Ajax
5 - 0
Vitesse
VIT
69%
18%
14%
87 78 9 0
12 Nov. 2023
ALM
Almere City
2 - 2
Ajax
AJA
11%
18%
71%
87 71 16 0

Matches

Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2023
HER
Heracles
0 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
41%
25%
34%
80 76 4 0
26 Nov. 2023
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 2
Utrecht
UTR
39%
25%
36%
80 80 0 0
12 Nov. 2023
VOL
FC Volendam
1 - 4
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
29%
25%
46%
80 69 11 0
05 Nov. 2023
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 2
Almere City
ALM
54%
24%
22%
80 70 10 0
01 Nov. 2023
IJS
IJsselmeervogels
0 - 2
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
10%
18%
72%
80 53 27 0