Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
AJA
5 - 0
SBR
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
PSV
4 - 3
AJA
36%
24%
40%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
AJA
4 - 1
RKC
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
GRO
0 - 2
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 0
TWE
64%
21%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 1
WIL
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
AZA
2 - 0
SPA
69%
19%
11%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 2
TWE
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 1
SPA
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SPA
4 - 0
AJA
15%
20%
66%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +2 |