Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1995 |
NEC
0 - 6
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
AJA
4 - 0
UTR
83%
11%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
AJA
3 - 1
TWE
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1995 |
AJA
1 - 0
ACM
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
SPA
4 - 1
GRA
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
WIL
6 - 0
SPA
63%
20%
16%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
SPA
2 - 2
MVV
60%
21%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1995 |
UTR
0 - 0
SPA
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
SPA
3 - 1
GRO
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |