Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1989 |
AJA
5 - 2
VIT
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1989 |
ADO
0 - 4
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
AJA
1 - 0
WIL
83%
11%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1989 |
BOS
0 - 3
AJA
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
AJA
1 - 0
VVV
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1989 |
RJC
1 - 1
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1989 |
SPA
1 - 2
NEC
72%
19%
10%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
SPA
1 - 1
VVV
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1989 |
VOL
3 - 1
SPA
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
SPA
1 - 3
FEY
35%
25%
39%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |