Ajax vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
10.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BOS
0 - 5
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
AJA
0 - 1
JUV
46%
25%
30%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ADO
3 - 3
AJA
17%
23%
61%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 1
UTR
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
AJA
6 - 2
NAC
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
RJC
3 - 0
EXC
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
RJC
1 - 1
AZA
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
WIL
3 - 1
RJC
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
RJC
2 - 1
GRA
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
SCH
3 - 4
RJC
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |