Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
9º
2º
79
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
FEY
0 - 2
AJA
39%
24%
38%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
WIL
62%
21%
18%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
QAR
0 - 3
AJA
17%
19%
65%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
HER
3 - 4
AJA
17%
19%
64%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRO
64%
20%
16%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PSV
6 - 0
ZWO
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
PSG
1 - 1
PSV
66%
18%
16%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AZA
1 - 2
PSV
43%
23%
34%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PSV
2 - 1
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
PSV
1 - 1
SCP
48%
23%
30%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |