Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
10º
5º
91
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
91 | 91 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
84 | 84 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HER
2 - 4
AJA
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AJA
4 - 1
RKC
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GAE
2 - 3
AJA
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
HAN
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 3
HAN
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PSV
2 - 0
ALM
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
FEY
1 - 0
PSV
43%
23%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
UTR
1 - 1
PSV
24%
23%
54%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
PSV
3 - 1
TWE
55%
22%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PSV
3 - 1
EXC
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |