Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
RKC
2 - 4
AJA
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 1
VIT
75%
17%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 0
AZA
59%
21%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
RJC
2 - 1
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 1
NAC
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 6
PSV
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
PSV
1 - 1
FEY
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
PSV
1 - 1
GRO
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
RBC
1 - 2
PSV
13%
21%
66%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
WIL
0 - 3
PSV
17%
22%
60%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |