Johan Cruyff Shield Final

Ajax vs PSV analysis

Ajax PSV
88 ELO 89
22.6% Tilt 14%
101º General ELO ranking 99º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.2%
Ajax
21.5%
Draw
24.2%
PSV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
Ajax
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.2%
Win probability
PSV
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+5%
+11%
PSV

ELO progression

Ajax
PSV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 1996
JUV
Juventus
1 - 1
Ajax
AJA
57%
23%
20%
88 91 3 0
05 May. 1996
GRA
De Graafschap
0 - 0
Ajax
AJA
10%
19%
72%
88 63 25 0
28 Apr. 1996
AJA
Ajax
5 - 1
Willem II
WIL
82%
12%
6%
88 75 13 0
21 Apr. 1996
GRO
Groningen
3 - 4
Ajax
AJA
22%
24%
54%
88 75 13 0
17 Apr. 1996
PAN
Panathinaikos
0 - 3
Ajax
AJA
36%
26%
38%
89 83 6 -1

Matches

PSV
PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 1996
PSV
PSV
3 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles
GAE
91%
7%
2%
88 63 25 0
28 Apr. 1996
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
2 - 1
PSV
PSV
24%
22%
54%
88 76 12 0
20 Apr. 1996
PSV
PSV
1 - 0
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
92%
7%
2%
88 61 27 0
11 Apr. 1996
GRA
De Graafschap
1 - 2
PSV
PSV
8%
17%
76%
88 61 27 0
08 Apr. 1996
PSV
PSV
1 - 1
Ajax
AJA
56%
22%
23%
88 88 0 0