Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1995 |
GCZ
0 - 0
AJA
33%
26%
41%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
AJA
6 - 1
RJC
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1995 |
AJA
4 - 0
VOL
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
FEY
2 - 4
AJA
44%
24%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1995 |
AJA
3 - 0
GCZ
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1995 |
PSV
3 - 0
LEE
71%
18%
12%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
PSV
2 - 0
WIL
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1995 |
UTR
1 - 4
PSV
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
PSV
7 - 1
GRO
81%
12%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1995 |
LEE
3 - 5
PSV
34%
26%
39%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |