Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
16.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
AJA
2 - 3
ADO
94%
4%
1%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
HFC
0 - 3
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
SPA
3 - 1
AJA
25%
22%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1986 |
AJA
6 - 0
TWE
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
NEC
0 - 0
AJA
11%
20%
70%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
BVV
0 - 3
PSV
8%
15%
77%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
PSV
2 - 0
GAE
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
SPA
1 - 1
PSV
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
PSV
1 - 1
UTR
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1986 |
FEY
2 - 3
PSV
40%
25%
36%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |