Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
FOR
1 - 0
AJA
29%
22%
49%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
WIL
2 - 3
AJA
28%
21%
51%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
AJA
2 - 1
VVD
63%
19%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
DVO
0 - 5
AJA
22%
19%
59%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
AJA
3 - 0
FCB
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
PSV
4 - 2
VOL
76%
13%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
PSV
2 - 2
HER
79%
12%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
FOR
0 - 2
PSV
35%
23%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
PSV
2 - 1
FEY
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
PSV
5 - 2
WIL
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |