Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
WIL
5 - 1
AJA
29%
23%
48%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
AJA
1 - 4
ELI
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
FOR
3 - 1
AJA
53%
20%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
AJA
1 - 1
SPA
58%
21%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
DWS
1 - 2
AJA
32%
22%
46%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
PSV
4 - 3
TSV
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
WIL
1 - 0
PSV
37%
21%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
PSV
1 - 3
VVD
48%
21%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
ELI
3 - 0
PSV
33%
21%
47%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
PSV
5 - 4
FCB
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |