Champions League Grupo A round 4

Ajax vs Olympiacos analysis

Ajax Olympiacos
89 ELO 83
24.5% Tilt 10.7%
102º General ELO ranking 454º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
73%
Ajax
16%
Draw
11%
Olympiacos

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
Ajax
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11%
Win probability
Olympiacos
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+3%
+27%
Olympiacos

ELO progression

Ajax
Olympiacos
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 1998
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
0 - 4
Ajax
AJA
23%
24%
53%
88 71 17 0
28 Oct. 1998
AJA
Ajax
9 - 0
UDI '19
UDI
99%
1%
0%
89 38 51 -1
25 Oct. 1998
AJA
Ajax
4 - 0
Cambuur
BVO
83%
12%
6%
88 69 19 +1
21 Oct. 1998
OLP
Olympiacos
1 - 0
Ajax
AJA
36%
26%
39%
89 83 6 -1
18 Oct. 1998
AJA
Ajax
5 - 0
Twente
TWE
78%
14%
8%
88 79 9 +1

Matches

Olympiacos
Olympiacos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 1998
PAO
PAOK
1 - 2
Olympiacos
OLP
46%
25%
29%
83 83 0 0
25 Oct. 1998
ETH
Ethnikos Asteras
1 - 3
Olympiacos
OLP
16%
22%
62%
83 65 18 0
21 Oct. 1998
OLP
Olympiacos
1 - 0
Ajax
AJA
36%
26%
39%
83 89 6 0
04 Oct. 1998
OLP
Olympiacos
6 - 1
Proodeftiki FC
PRO
84%
11%
5%
83 65 18 0
30 Sep. 1998
OLP
Olympiacos
2 - 0
Dinamo Zagreb
DZG
47%
25%
28%
82 85 3 +1