Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 0
AZA
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
AJA
18%
20%
62%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
WHC
1 - 14
AJA
8%
15%
77%
|
88 | 41 | 47 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 3
AND
56%
21%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
AJA
3 - 0
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
NEC
2 - 1
VIT
56%
25%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
GRO
0 - 2
NEC
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
AJA
3 - 0
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
NEC
3 - 4
TWE
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |