Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2005 |
SCH
4 - 2
AJA
30%
24%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2005 |
AJA
3 - 2
GRO
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2005 |
EIN
1 - 6
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 2
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 2
AJA
25%
24%
52%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
NEC
0 - 2
PSV
16%
22%
62%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
AZA
2 - 0
NEC
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
GRO
3 - 0
NEC
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
RJC
0 - 1
NEC
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
NEC
1 - 0
VIT
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |