Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.1%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
GRO
1 - 4
AJA
17%
21%
63%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2001 |
APO
0 - 3
AJA
30%
24%
46%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
AJA
3 - 0
SPA
87%
9%
3%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
AJA
2 - 0
APO
74%
16%
11%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 0
AZA
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
FOR
2 - 2
NEC
52%
24%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
NEC
1 - 0
GRO
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
BOS
2 - 1
NEC
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
NEC
0 - 3
FEY
16%
22%
62%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 1
NEC
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |