Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
AJA
1 - 3
FOR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
BVO
4 - 1
AJA
19%
23%
57%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
PSV
3 - 1
AJA
58%
21%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1999 |
ZWO
1 - 2
AJA
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
PSV
2 - 0
NEC
85%
10%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
SCH
3 - 2
NEC
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1999 |
NEC
1 - 0
BVO
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1999 |
TWE
2 - 0
NEC
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
SPA
1 - 0
NEC
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |