Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.6%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
3.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
ZWO
3 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
62%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
AJA
3 - 2
TWE
64%
20%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1980 |
AJA
4 - 0
STR
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
RJC
2 - 1
AJA
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
63%
20%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
NEC
2 - 2
EXC
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
SPA
0 - 0
NEC
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1980 |
NEC
1 - 0
ADO
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1980 |
MVV
0 - 2
NEC
60%
22%
17%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
NEC
2 - 0
PSV
15%
24%
61%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +2 |