Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.5%
Win probability
4.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.9%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.4%
7-0
3.7%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.9%
6-0
6.4%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.7%
5-0
9.5%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.4%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
4.6%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
4.6%
1.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
AJA
8 - 2
AZA
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
MVV
1 - 4
AJA
11%
20%
69%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
AJA
3 - 0
EXC
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
AJA
9 - 0
SPA
89%
8%
4%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
TWE
1 - 8
AJA
18%
23%
59%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
MVV
1 - 4
AJA
11%
20%
69%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
FOR
3 - 2
MVV
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
BOS
4 - 3
MVV
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
MVV
0 - 2
HFC
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
UTR
3 - 0
MVV
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |