Ajax vs Midtjylland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
AJA
5 - 0
HER
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
UTR
0 - 3
AJA
15%
19%
67%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
MID
1 - 2
AJA
24%
21%
55%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AJA
5 - 2
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 2
AJA
42%
22%
36%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
AGF
1 - 2
MID
34%
24%
42%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
HBK
0 - 1
MID
7%
17%
76%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
MID
4 - 0
FCK
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
MID
1 - 2
AJA
24%
21%
55%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FCN
4 - 1
MID
22%
23%
55%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |