Europa League 1/32
Global 10-2
Ajax vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
SCH
0 - 1
AJA
27%
24%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
AJA
7 - 0
MVV
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
NEC
1 - 4
AJA
11%
20%
69%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
MAR
1 - 1
AJA
24%
25%
50%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1997 |
AJA
4 - 1
GRO
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
MAR
5 - 0
BEL
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
SVE
1 - 3
MAR
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
MAR
1 - 1
AJA
24%
25%
50%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
MAR
0 - 1
NKP
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
RUD
1 - 1
MAR
39%
29%
33%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |