Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Ajax vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
AJA
3 - 0
EXC
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1987 |
MFF
1 - 0
AJA
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
ADO
0 - 2
AJA
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
AJA
6 - 0
HFC
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
VVV
3 - 0
AJA
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1987 |
MFF
1 - 0
AJA
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1986 |
MFF
0 - 0
TIR
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
TIR
0 - 3
MFF
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
GÖT
0 - 1
MFF
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
APO
2 - 1
MFF
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |