Ajax vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
AJA
6 - 0
FEY
58%
20%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
AMS
0 - 2
AJA
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
45%
24%
31%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
AJA
5 - 1
UTR
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
HSV
2 - 1
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
HER
3 - 0
KAI
60%
20%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
HER
4 - 2
STU
67%
17%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
HAN
2 - 6
HER
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |