Ajax vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
COM
3 - 0
AJA
49%
23%
29%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
AJA
5 - 1
CEL
62%
20%
18%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
AJA
3 - 2
KVM
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
AJA
2 - 1
PAO
65%
20%
16%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
AJA
1 - 1
AGF
62%
20%
18%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
HER
1 - 2
EXC
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
PRE
1 - 4
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
HER
2 - 1
DEN
45%
23%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
HER
1 - 1
BSV
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
ALS
1 - 4
HER
4%
12%
84%
|
84 | 10 | 74 | 0 |