Ajax vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
6.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PSV
1 - 2
AJA
40%
24%
36%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
AJA
9 - 0
EXC
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 47 | 42 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
UTR
0 - 3
AJA
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
FOR
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
FEY
0 - 2
AJA
31%
23%
45%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
BVO
0 - 1
HER
62%
20%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
GAE
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NEC
0 - 0
HER
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
HER
1 - 1
BVO
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
HER
4 - 2
GRO
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |