Ajax vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 4
AJA
9%
15%
76%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 0
APO
70%
18%
13%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
APO
0 - 0
AJA
26%
23%
52%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
VVV
1 - 4
AJA
8%
15%
77%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
AJA
3 - 2
PAO
64%
19%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 1
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SCH
0 - 0
TWE
45%
25%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
FCE
2 - 0
SCH
17%
20%
63%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 1
FEY
22%
22%
56%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
HER
0 - 4
SCH
33%
23%
45%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |