Ajax vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 2
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 0
ADO
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ZWO
0 - 1
AJA
19%
22%
60%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 1
TWE
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
RJC
2 - 4
AJA
11%
20%
69%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 0
WIL
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
PSV
2 - 2
SCH
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 1
RJC
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
ZWO
3 - 2
SCH
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |