Ajax vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
FEY
0 - 1
AJA
26%
26%
49%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
AJA
1 - 0
FOR
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
UTR
0 - 0
AJA
16%
24%
60%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
AJA
0 - 0
VOL
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
RKC
0 - 3
AJA
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1990 |
HFC
1 - 1
NEC
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1990 |
RJC
5 - 0
HFC
75%
17%
9%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1990 |
HFC
0 - 2
WIL
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1990 |
BOS
1 - 0
HFC
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1990 |
HFC
0 - 1
GRO
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |