Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 3
BYM
16%
18%
66%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
ZWO
1 - 4
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AJA
5 - 1
ADO
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
AEK
0 - 2
AJA
34%
24%
42%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 3
AJA
9%
17%
75%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
ADO
0 - 0
GRA
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 2
ZWO
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
UTR
5 - 0
GRA
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 4
PSV
8%
15%
77%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
AZA
1 - 0
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |