Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
3º
40
10º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AZA
2 - 1
AJA
33%
24%
43%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 1
AJA
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
5 - 0
SCH
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
4 - 0
GLA
75%
15%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
4 - 0
BVO
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
BOR
2 - 4
GAE
18%
21%
61%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GAE
2 - 0
FCE
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 3
GAE
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GAE
3 - 4
FEY
12%
19%
68%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GAE
0 - 1
SPA
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |