Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
FEY
4 - 1
AJA
60%
21%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 3
PSV
57%
21%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
RJC
0 - 0
AJA
23%
25%
51%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
AJA
2 - 0
AMS
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
UTR
1 - 1
AJA
24%
25%
52%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
GAE
0 - 0
TEL
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
NAC
3 - 1
GAE
48%
25%
26%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
FEY
4 - 2
GAE
82%
12%
6%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
TWE
4 - 1
GAE
74%
17%
10%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
GAE
2 - 1
EIN
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |