Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 2
AJA
42%
22%
36%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
VVV
0 - 13
AJA
7%
14%
79%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
AJA
0 - 1
LIV
32%
23%
45%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
AJA
5 - 1
SCH
76%
15%
10%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
GRO
1 - 0
AJA
8%
16%
76%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
RJC
0 - 2
FOR
23%
21%
57%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 3
GRO
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FCE
2 - 2
FOR
42%
25%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PSV
2 - 0
FOR
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 3
AZA
16%
22%
63%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |