Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1993 |
AJA
4 - 0
GRO
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
TWE
2 - 0
AJA
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
AJA
5 - 2
FEY
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
WIL
1 - 0
AJA
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1993 |
AJA
1 - 1
VOL
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1993 |
FOR
1 - 1
BVO
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
RKC
1 - 3
FOR
73%
16%
10%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1993 |
FOR
1 - 1
RJC
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
VOL
2 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
FOR
1 - 5
PSV
16%
24%
60%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |