Ajax vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
19.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
PSV
2 - 3
AJA
50%
21%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
AJA
1 - 2
ENS
71%
16%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
AJA
5 - 0
WIL
71%
16%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
FEY
7 - 3
AJA
53%
20%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
AJA
1 - 0
ELI
85%
9%
6%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
FOR
4 - 1
VVD
55%
20%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
VVV
2 - 3
FOR
46%
22%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
FOR
1 - 3
PSV
57%
20%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
ENS
4 - 1
FOR
46%
22%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
FOR
4 - 1
BOS
79%
12%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |