Ajax vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 1
AJA
13%
19%
69%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 3
AJA
20%
21%
60%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AZA
3 - 2
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 0
RJC
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ZWO
1 - 1
UTR
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ZWO
2 - 0
BVO
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 5
ZWO
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
HER
1 - 3
ZWO
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ZWO
2 - 1
FEY
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |