Ajax vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRA
76%
15%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
RBC
0 - 1
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 2
AJA
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
GRA
1 - 1
AJA
28%
26%
46%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
AJA
3 - 0
SCH
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
ZWO
0 - 3
RKC
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
UTR
1 - 0
ZWO
69%
18%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
NOO
1 - 7
ZWO
11%
17%
72%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
ZWO
2 - 1
GRA
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
NEC
0 - 0
ZWO
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |