Ajax vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.7%
Win probability
3.93
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.9%
6-0
5%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.3%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.9%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.2%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.2%
2.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
AZA
0 - 1
AJA
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
AJA
2 - 0
ADO
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1981 |
UTR
1 - 2
AJA
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
GRO
0 - 1
AJA
15%
21%
63%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
AJA
7 - 2
EXC
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
ZWO
0 - 1
NEC
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
ZWO
3 - 1
SPA
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
AZA
1 - 0
ZWO
88%
8%
4%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
ZWO
4 - 2
ADO
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
GRO
4 - 2
ZWO
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |