Ajax vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.9%
Win probability
3.75
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.3%
3.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
AJA
10 - 0
OMO
94%
4%
2%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
AJA
4 - 0
RJC
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
AJA
8 - 1
HJK
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
FEY
4 - 0
AJA
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
AJA
3 - 2
UTR
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
ZWO
4 - 2
EXC
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 0
ZWO
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
ZWO
3 - 1
ADO
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
MVV
0 - 1
ZWO
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
ZWO
1 - 2
PSV
19%
22%
59%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |