Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
AJA
4 - 0
ZWO
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
AJA
0 - 1
ATL
52%
22%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
AJA
1 - 2
TWE
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
LIV
1 - 0
AJA
62%
19%
19%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FCE
0 - 5
AJA
6%
13%
81%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PSV
2 - 1
UTR
58%
22%
21%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
UTR
1 - 1
ADO
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
FEY
1 - 1
UTR
55%
22%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ZWO
1 - 1
UTR
20%
22%
58%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
UTR
0 - 3
AJA
15%
19%
67%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |