Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
17%
23%
59%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
DED
1 - 4
AJA
7%
14%
79%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FEY
1 - 4
AJA
39%
25%
37%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
78%
14%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SCH
0 - 4
AJA
24%
25%
52%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
UTR
2 - 2
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
VVV
3 - 1
UTR
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
AZA
3 - 0
UTR
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
UTR
3 - 1
SCH
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
UTR
40%
25%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |