Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 1
ACM
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
TWE
2 - 2
AJA
33%
24%
43%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
AJA
5 - 0
MVV
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
FEY
1 - 2
AJA
21%
22%
57%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
RMA
2 - 0
AJA
68%
17%
15%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
UTR
0 - 0
LIV
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
AZA
1 - 0
UTR
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 1
UTR
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
UTR
3 - 2
VVV
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
NAP
0 - 0
UTR
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |